Skip to main content

Table 3 Day 1-6: Logistic regression, OCC, calibration (HL), discrimination (ROC) for EuroSCORE, CASUS, SOFA, SAPSII, APACHEII

From: A comparative study of four intensive care outcome prediction models in cardiac surgery patients

Day

Scoring model

Logistic Regression

OCC

HL test

ROC-Analysis

  

O R

95%-CI

%

χ1

p-value

AUC

95%-CI

Preoperative (2801)

Add-Euro

1.25

1.20-1.30

94.7

9.10

0.33

0.71

0.64-0.79

 

Log-Euro

1.04

1.03-1.05

94.7

19.75

0.01

0.71

0.63-0.78

 

CASUS

1.55

1.48-1.64

96.0

3.65

0.82

0.93

0.91-0.95

ICU-Day 1 (2801)

SOFA

1.70

1.58-1.82

95.3

7.90

0.34

0.85

0.81-0.88

 

SAPS II

1.08

1.07-1.10

95.0

36.60

<0.001

0.83

0.79-0.86

 

APACHE II

1.17

1.14-1.19

95.0

5.28

0.626

0.78

0.75-0.82

 

CASUS

1.50

1.43-1.58

96.9

13.97

0.05

0.97

0.96-0.98

ICU-Day 2 (2769)

SOFA

1.64

1.54-1.76

95.3

6.75

0.56

0.91

0.88-0.93

 

SAPS II

1.09

1.08-1.10

95.4

33.87

<0.001

0.89

0.87-0.91

 

APACHE II

1.20

1.17-1.23

95.3

30.63

<0.001

0.87

0.85-0.90

 

CASUS

1.37

1.31-1.43

93.8

10.29

0.17

0.94

0.93-0.96

ICU-Day 3 (1234)

SOFA

1.55

1.44-1.66

90.8

6.45

0.60

0.90

0.88-0.93

 

SAPS II

1.09

1.08-1.10

90.9

17.15

0.03

0.89

0.87-0.92

 

APACHE II

1.20

1.16-1.23

91.0

18.13

0.02

0.86

0.83-0.89

 

CASUS

1.36

1.29-1.43

92.4

3.66

0.82

0.93

0.91-0.96

ICU-Day 4 (815)

SOFA

1.50

1.39-1.62

89.3

8.35

0.40

0.89

0.86-0.91

 

SAPS II

1.08

1.07-1.10

89.3

12.18

0.143

0.87

0.84-0.91

 

APACHE II

1.18

1.14-1.22

88.6

8.42

0.297

0.82

0.78-0.86

 

CASUS

1.34

1.26-1.41

91.2

8.08

0.33

0.92

0.89-0.95

ICU-Day 5 (566)

SOFA

1.51

1.39-1.65

86.9

2.46

0.96

0.89

0.85-0.92

 

SAPS II

1.08

1.06-1.09

86.0

18.99

0.015

0.86

0.83-0.90

 

APACHE II

1.16

1.12-1.20

86.2

14.30

0.07

0.79

0.74-0.84

 

CASUS

1.32

1.25-1.41

89.5

4.71

0.79

0.90

0.86-0.94

ICU-Day 6 (430)

SOFA

1.47

1.35-1.61

85.6

3.98

0.86

0.88

0.84-0.91

 

SAPS II

1.07

1.05-1.08

85.6

5.11

0.75

0.82

0.77-0.87

 

APACHE II

1.14

1.10-1.19

85.8

5.96

0.65

0.75

0.69-0.81

  1. 95%-CI: 95%-confidence interval, Add-Euro: additive EuroSCORE, AUC: Area under ROC curve, HL: Hosmer-Lemeshow, Log-Euro: logistic EuroSCORE, OCC: overall correct classification, CC: tio for risk of mortality, OR: Odds ratio for risk of mortality, ROC: receiver operating characteristic.
Back to article page

Journal of Cardiothoracic Surgery

ISSN: 1749-8090

Contact us