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Table 3 Day 1-6: Logistic regression, OCC, calibration (HL), discrimination (ROC) for EuroSCORE, CASUS, SOFA, SAPSII, APACHEII

From: A comparative study of four intensive care outcome prediction models in cardiac surgery patients

Day Scoring model Logistic Regression OCC HL test ROC-Analysis
   O R 95%-CI % χ1 p-value AUC 95%-CI
Preoperative (2801) Add-Euro 1.25 1.20-1.30 94.7 9.10 0.33 0.71 0.64-0.79
  Log-Euro 1.04 1.03-1.05 94.7 19.75 0.01 0.71 0.63-0.78
  CASUS 1.55 1.48-1.64 96.0 3.65 0.82 0.93 0.91-0.95
ICU-Day 1 (2801) SOFA 1.70 1.58-1.82 95.3 7.90 0.34 0.85 0.81-0.88
  SAPS II 1.08 1.07-1.10 95.0 36.60 <0.001 0.83 0.79-0.86
  APACHE II 1.17 1.14-1.19 95.0 5.28 0.626 0.78 0.75-0.82
  CASUS 1.50 1.43-1.58 96.9 13.97 0.05 0.97 0.96-0.98
ICU-Day 2 (2769) SOFA 1.64 1.54-1.76 95.3 6.75 0.56 0.91 0.88-0.93
  SAPS II 1.09 1.08-1.10 95.4 33.87 <0.001 0.89 0.87-0.91
  APACHE II 1.20 1.17-1.23 95.3 30.63 <0.001 0.87 0.85-0.90
  CASUS 1.37 1.31-1.43 93.8 10.29 0.17 0.94 0.93-0.96
ICU-Day 3 (1234) SOFA 1.55 1.44-1.66 90.8 6.45 0.60 0.90 0.88-0.93
  SAPS II 1.09 1.08-1.10 90.9 17.15 0.03 0.89 0.87-0.92
  APACHE II 1.20 1.16-1.23 91.0 18.13 0.02 0.86 0.83-0.89
  CASUS 1.36 1.29-1.43 92.4 3.66 0.82 0.93 0.91-0.96
ICU-Day 4 (815) SOFA 1.50 1.39-1.62 89.3 8.35 0.40 0.89 0.86-0.91
  SAPS II 1.08 1.07-1.10 89.3 12.18 0.143 0.87 0.84-0.91
  APACHE II 1.18 1.14-1.22 88.6 8.42 0.297 0.82 0.78-0.86
  CASUS 1.34 1.26-1.41 91.2 8.08 0.33 0.92 0.89-0.95
ICU-Day 5 (566) SOFA 1.51 1.39-1.65 86.9 2.46 0.96 0.89 0.85-0.92
  SAPS II 1.08 1.06-1.09 86.0 18.99 0.015 0.86 0.83-0.90
  APACHE II 1.16 1.12-1.20 86.2 14.30 0.07 0.79 0.74-0.84
  CASUS 1.32 1.25-1.41 89.5 4.71 0.79 0.90 0.86-0.94
ICU-Day 6 (430) SOFA 1.47 1.35-1.61 85.6 3.98 0.86 0.88 0.84-0.91
  SAPS II 1.07 1.05-1.08 85.6 5.11 0.75 0.82 0.77-0.87
  APACHE II 1.14 1.10-1.19 85.8 5.96 0.65 0.75 0.69-0.81
  1. 95%-CI: 95%-confidence interval, Add-Euro: additive EuroSCORE, AUC: Area under ROC curve, HL: Hosmer-Lemeshow, Log-Euro: logistic EuroSCORE, OCC: overall correct classification, CC: tio for risk of mortality, OR: Odds ratio for risk of mortality, ROC: receiver operating characteristic.